Manuscript Oai280-A@1 · Oai280-A.tex · proposition · 27038823

Proposition: Forty shots cannot pass this Hoeffding certificate

The finite sector-label experiment › The forty-shot limitation, with its exact scope · lines 1356–1379 · proof included or linked

Oai280-A@1#prop:forty

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For one label, , and , the certificate of Theorem thm:main cannot accept the threshold , even with zero calibration and transfer allowances and the best possible empirical score.

Proof. Because scores lie in , . Here

Thus the best possible lower fidelity is , and the smallest possible upper error is

Since , this number is strictly greater than . Nonnegative allowances only weaken acceptance.

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