Manuscript Psy03-B@1 · Psy03-B-v1.tex · theorem · 8ca3caf9

Theorem: Exact reduced operational memory

An exact one-edge structural-memory pilot › A carrier-only causal-break witness · lines 2286–2329 · proof included or linked

Psy03-B@1#thm:operationalmemory, Psy03-B@1#eq:memorygap

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In the two-probe experiment, first-outcome probabilities are

The posterior unscarred probabilities are

After the identical carrier re-preparation, the difference in future probabilities is

Consequently, the reduced carrier process is operationally non-Markovian under this carrier-only experiment.

For the noiseless quarter-rotation pilot,

Proof. Sector-zero and sector-one first-outcome probabilities for are and , respectively. Bayes' rule gives . The reset makes the carrier input identical in both histories while leaving these conditional scar distributions unchanged. The future probability is . Subtract and simplify.

Both first outcomes have positive probability because and . The denominator is positive. The nonzero conditional future difference satisfies Proposition prop:memory and the causal-break criterion PollockMarkov.

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