Manuscript Psy03-C@1 · Psy03-C-v1.tex · theorem · d3380b90
Theorem: Gaussian four-center Bayes reference
Probe geometry and exact task references › The four-center Gaussian law · lines 1057–1085 · proof included or linked
Psy03-C@1#thm:bayes, Psy03-C@1#eq:bayes, Psy03-C@1#eq:ceilings
For ,
For , . At , the common class law gives .
For the supplied ideal probe laws,
Proof. Equal-prior Gaussian likelihood comparison assigns each coordinate its observed sign. For each coordinate, the probability of the correct sign is . Coordinate signs and noises are independent, so the joint correctness probability is the square. The degenerate cases are immediate.
Displayed formulas in this passage
Psy03-C@1#eq:bayes · line 1060
Psy03-C@1#eq:ceilings · line 1068